Tuesday, April 15, 2008


Time to get out the vote

Found this site. Polling for the RNC
Talks of McCain’s pull with the independents in regards to his military background ect.
From flaring violence in Iraq to an economy sliding into recession, from sky-high gas prices to President Bush’s rock-bottom approval ratings, events seem to be conspiring against Republicans’ electoral hopes. Against this dismal backdrop, it’s no wonder Democrats come out well ahead when voters are asked which party they would like to see win the White House this fall.
Yet in head-to-head matchups, Sen. John McCain is running either even or slightly ahead of his Democratic opponents. What explains this paradox?
For one thing, Americans aren’t Europeans; we vote mainly for people, not for party

I do think that people will vote for a party if it represents those markers that they use to help decide which candidate to vote for. A party could win if a leader with those markers took over the party, at least in the minds of the voters. Reagan showed that IMO.

Election polling.
I learned from this that the range of 36-40 was pretty standard for the last 8 elections for both Repubs and Dems. It was the Independents that really swung the elections.
This poll is from March 31 and shows McCain still ahead by a small margin over Obama or Hillary, in Michigan
I learned that Michigan has been slowly trending Republican in recent Presidential races.
Michigan has cast its Electoral College votes for the Democrats in four straight Presidential elections and it would be difficult for Obama or Clinton to reach the White House without carrying the state. However, the economically devastated state has been trending Republican in recent elections—Bill Clinton won Michigan by thirteen points in 1996, Al Gore won by five in 2000, and John Kerry won by just three points in 2004
Next from the Rasmussen poll showing just how tight the national election is. Republicans actually have more safe electoral votes than the Democrats but the leaning states are for now putting the Democrats in the lead. Michigan is one state listed as a toss up.
Thirteen states with 159 Electoral Votes are either a pure Toss-Up or just slightly leaning to one party or the other. These are likely to be the early battleground states of Election 2008: Florida (27), Pennsylvania (21), Ohio (20), Michigan (17), Virginia (13), Missouri (11), Minnesota (10), Wisconsin (10), Colorado (9), Iowa (7), Nevada (5), New Mexico (5), and New Hampshire (4).
The Rasmussen Reports Balance of Power Calculator will be updated daily until Election Day. More information below table.
Balance of Power Calculator - Electoral College
Safe Republican 168
Likely Republican 21
Leans Republican 51
Toss-Up 38
Leans Democratic 70
Likely Democratic 33
Safe Democratic 157

Time to start thinking ahead and get out the vote. Talk with people start offering your ear to hear their problems, learn what THEY want. THINK study research. Think of ways that conservative ideas will help. Be considerate. Above all be honest.
(Don't be so damn partisan.)
Regards, Live Dangerously

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